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[摘要]为了缓解我国的人口问题，计划生育政策逐步放宽，江苏省于2014年3月28日开始实施“单独二孩”生育政策。“单独二孩”政策的出台将对符合条件的育龄妇女的生育意愿带来影响，今后相当一部分育龄妇女会改变生育行为，生育意愿对生育行为的影响将进一步加大。江苏省不同地区的政策目标人群的生育意愿可能存在不同，影响生育行为。本文以苏州和徐州两地目标人群为研究对象，通过问卷调查的方式分析比较苏南苏北目标人群在生育意愿，生育意愿影响因素以及对“单独二孩”生育政策看法上是否存在不同或相同的地方，得出结论判断苏南苏北两地生育行为趋势，为江苏省的生育政策的调整提供建议并对政策产生的影响进行反思。26487
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[毕业论文关键词]单独二孩政策、生育意愿、生育行为、比较分析
A comparative research on target population fertility intention under‘separate two-child’ fertility policy
——based on a field survey of South Jiangsu and North Jiangsu
[Abstract]In order to alleviate the population problem in China, the government is relaxing the one-child policy. Jiangsu Province began to implement the‘separate two-child’fertility policy in March 28, 2014.The separate two-child fertility policy has an influence on qualified fertile woman’s childbearing desire and some of them will give birth to another child in the near future. Fertility intention will further increase the impact on fertility behavior. The target population of the policy in different areas of Jiangsu, the fertility intention may be different, it will affect fertility behavior. This paper takes Suzhou and Xuzhou target population as the research object. Comparative analysis by mean of questionnaire survey about the target population of the South Jiangsu and North Jiangsu areas in fertility intention, fertility intention influence factors as well as ideas about the‘separate two-child’fertility policy on whether there is different or same. Come to some conclusions to judge the trend of fertility behavior，providing the advice for adjustment of‘separate two-child’fertility policy and reflecting on the impact of the police.
[Key Words]separate two-child policy；fertility intention；fertility behavior； comparative analysis
目录
一、绪论 2
（一）研究背景 2
（二）研究意义 2
（三）文献综述 2
二、研究设计 2
（一）概念界定 2
（二）研究对象 2
（三）研究方法 2
三、“单独二孩”生育政策目标人群生育意愿比较研究结果 2
（一）调查对象基本情况 2
（二）“单独二孩”生育政策目标人群生育意愿现状比较研究 2
1.理想子女数量比较分析 2
2.子女性别偏好比较分析 2
3.二孩生育意愿比较分析 2
4.再生育时间间隔比较分析 2
（三）“单独二孩”生育政策目标人群二孩生育意愿原因比较研究 2
1.政策目标人群有意愿生育二孩的原因比较分析 2
2.政策目标人群没有意愿生育二孩的原因比较分析 2
（四）“单独二孩”生育政策目标人群对二孩生育政策看法的比较研究 2